Analysis of geospatial and temporal is the central topic of this scientific publication.
Abstract
The purpose of the research – the research has been undertaken to determine the geospatial and temporal distribution of the number and consequences of storms in the global geospace in the period from 1900 till 2013.
Design/methodology/approach – The paper applied statistical methods. In addition, a statistical study was conducted by taking the raw data of all natural disasters (25,552) in mind, Excel “file from the international database on disasters (CRED) in Brussels, after which they were analyzed in the same program for statistical analysis of data SPSS.
Inventions – Statistical analysis of the results clearly indicate that the number of storms on the rise, as well as the severity of their consequences.
Research limitations – it cannot be said that an international database on natural disasters included absolutely everything that happens in the world, given that it was created thanks to the submitted national reports on natural disasters in the period in 1900 till 2013. So the question that arises is whether the most underdeveloped countries submitted their reports.
Practical implications – bearing in mind the increasing trend in the number and severity of natural disasters in the world’s geographic space, the results are a good argument to launch a serious reform of the system of protection and rescue against natural disasters in countries around the world.
Social implications – Results of research impact on raising awareness among citizens on the severity of the consequences of meteorological disasters on people, the environment and their property.
Original value – in local Serbian literature, there are no scientific papers on this approach analyzing storms on this way. These results are original, bearing in mind the scientific method used to analyze the data obtained from the Center for Research disaster in Brussels.
Conclusions
Analyzing numbers, trends, impacts, and temporal and geospatial distribution of storms from 1900 to 2013, we came to the following conclusions regarding the total number of storm events by continent. During this period, the highest number of storms occurred in Asia (2,946) and the smallest in Africa (447). By the number of storms, the leading countries are the USA, Philippines, China, Bangladesh, and India. By the number of deaths due to the impacts of storms, Bangladesh ranks first, followed by China, India, Myanmar, and the Philippines. By the number of injuries due to the consequences of storms, China ranks first, followed by the Philippines, India, Bangladesh, and Vietnam. By the number of people affected by the consequences of storms, China ranks first, followed by Bangladesh, India, the Philippines, and Vietnam. Accordingly, in the period from 1900 to 2013, there were 7,149 storms, resulting in 2,766,859 deaths, 2,641,153 injuries, 1,742,924,832 people affected, and 105,054,916 left homeless. During the period from 1900 to 2013, the largest number of storms occurred from 2000 to 2013 and the fewest from 1910 to 1920. The largest number of deaths occurred from 1960 to 1970, and the lowest from 1950 to 1960. The largest number of injuries occurred from 1960 to 1970, and the fewest, without consequences, occurred from 1900 to 1910. By the number of people affected by the consequences of storms, the highest number was from 2000 to 2013, and the fewest, without consequences, was from 1900 to 1920. From 1990 to 2000, there was the highest number of homeless. From the above, it is necessary to continue ongoing research on phenomenology, monitoring methodology, and forecasting storms as a kind of natural disaster, to normatively improve the system of preventive care, especially in the area of more consistent compliance with urban planning standards for the construction of buildings according to risk assessments of vulnerability to storms. Finally, special emphasis should be placed on improving the monitoring system and promoting international cooperation and action of national rescue forces outside of national geographic space, from the regional to the global level.
How to cite
Reference – Cvetković, V., Stojković, D. (2016). Analysis of geospatial and temporal distribution of storms as a natural disaster, 2016. The international conference is organized by the Faculty of Security – Skopje – University St. Kliment Ohridski – Bitola in collaboration with Faculty of detectives and security – FON University – Skopje. International scientific conference – criminalistic education, situation and perspectives – 20 years after Vodinelic. Skopje, Republic of Macedonia, from 24th to 25th October 2014.